公共场所室内PM2.5浓度与吸烟行为识别模型

Recognition models of cigarette smoking behavior by real-time indoor PM2.5 concentrations in public places

  • 摘要:
    背景 公共场所是吸烟行为高发场所之一,但目前尚缺乏实时、准确、智能监测识别吸烟行为的技术手段。因此,亟须探索建立公共场所室内吸烟行为发生的环境监测识别模型,为改善公共场所室内空气质量,提升公共场所室内控烟管理提供技术支持。
    目的 探索基于室内空气实时在线监测PM2.5浓度的吸烟行为识别模型。
    方法 以上海市浦东新区为例,于2022年10—11月间,采用方便抽样的方法选择6家服务类场所和4家办公及其他场所,每家场所选取1个监测点,对室内PM2.5和尼古丁浓度进行连续7 d监测。同时,选择距离每家公共场所监测点地理位置最近的3个上海市环境监测站点的同期PM2.5浓度均值作为该监测场所室外PM2.5浓度数据。室内外PM2.5浓度均值的比较采用Mann-Whitney U检验,室内PM2.5和尼古丁浓度的相关性分析采用Spearman秩相关检验。此外,针对网吧场所开展为期7 d的室内人群吸烟行为视频和图像采集,并与同期实时监测的PM2.5进行联动效应分析,应用随机森林模型构建室内PM2.5浓度吸烟行为识别模型。
    结果 本次监测的服务类场所室内PM2.5质量浓度(后称浓度)为(97.5±149.3)µg·m−3,高于办公及其他场所浓度(19.8±12.2)µg·m−3P=0.011),服务类场所室内外PM2.5浓度比值(I/O值)在1.1~19.0之间。10家公共场所室内PM2.5浓度与同一场所中空气尼古丁浓度高度相关(rs=0.969,P<0.001),其中室内PM2.5与尼古丁浓度最高的前三位均为:网吧、棋牌室、KTV。随机森林模型结果显示,同期实时PM2.5对吸烟行为识别模型的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.66,而滞后于吸烟行为4 min的PM2.5浓度对吸烟行为识别模型的AUC达0.72。
    结论 公共场所室内PM2.5浓度与吸烟行为高度关联,基于室内实时监测空气PM2.5浓度初步构建了吸烟行为的识别模型,具有较高的准确率,提示其对于公共场所控烟管理有一定的参考价值。

     

    Abstract:
    Background Public places are frequently polluted by cigarette smoking, and there is a lack of accurate, real-time, and intelligent monitoring technology to identify smoking behavior. It is necessary to develop a tool to identify cigarette smoking behavior in public places for more efficient control of cigarette smoking and better indoor air quality.
    Objective To construct a model for recognizing cigarette smoking behavior based on real-time indoor concentrations of PM2.5 in public places.
    Methods Real-time indoor PM2.5 concentrations were measured for at least 7 continuous days in 10 arbitrarily selected places (6 public service providers and and 4 office or other places) from Oct. to Nov. 2022 in Pudong New Area, Shanghai. Indoor nicotine concentrations were monitored with passive samplers simultaneously. Outdoor PM2.5 concentration data were obtained from three municipal environmental monitoring stations which were nearest to each monitoring point during the same period. Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare indoor and outdoor means of PM2.5 concentrations, and Spearman rank correlation was used to analyze indoor PM2.5 and nicotine concentrations. An interactive plot and a random forest model was applied to examine the association between video observation validated indoor smoking behavior and real-time indoor PM2.5 concentrations in an Internet cafe.
    Results The average indoor PM2.5 concentration in the places providing public services (97.5±149.3) µg·m−3 was significantly higher than that in office and other places (19.8±12.2) µg·m−3 (P=0.011). The indoor/outdoor ratio (I/O ratio) of PM2.5 concentration in the public service providers ranged from 1.1 to 19.0. Furthermore, the indoor PM2.5 concentrations in the 10 public places were significantly correlated with the nicotine concentrations (rs=0.969, P<0.001). Among them, the top 3 highly polluted places were Internet cafes, chess and card rooms, and KTV. The results of random forest modeling showed that, for synchronous real-time PM2.5 concentration, the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.66, while for PM2.5 concentration at a lag of 4 min after the incidence of smoking behavior, the AUC increased to 0.72.
    Conclusion The indoor PM2.5 concentrations in public places are highly correlated with smoking behavior. Based on real-time indoor PM2.5 monitoring, a preliminary recognition model for smoking behavior is constructed with acceptable accuracy, indicating its potential values applied in smoking control and management in public places.

     

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