2008—2020年嘉兴市农药中毒时间趋势分析

Time trend of pesticide poisoning in Jiaxing from 2008 to 2020

  • 摘要:
    背景 农药中毒是常见的急性中毒,也是不容忽视的公共卫生问题。开展农药中毒流行特征与趋势描述和分析对农药中毒防治工作具有重要意义。
    目的 分析2008—2020年嘉兴市农药中毒流行特征及其趋势,为采取有效的干预措施提供依据。
    方法 通过中国疾病预防控制信息系统的职业病与职业卫生信息监测系统收集2008—2020年嘉兴市农药中毒案例相关信息,通过嘉兴市统计年鉴获得人口信息。运用Joinpoint回归模型对中毒者的总体、性别、年龄、季度、中毒类型以及农药种类趋势进行分析。
    结果 2008—2020年嘉兴市共报告农药中毒3109例。2008—2014年总体农药中毒发生率呈下降趋势,平均每年下降9.0%(95%CI:−16.6%~−0.7%)。2008—2015年女性农药中毒发生率呈下降趋势,平均每年下降8.6%(95%CI:−13.9%~−2.9%)。18~34岁年龄组农药中毒发生率2008—2015年为下降趋势,平均每年下降11.0%(95%Cl:−17.4%~4.3%),2015—2020年为上升趋势,平均每年上升18.5%(95%Cl:4.7%~34.0%)。>60岁组农药中毒发生率2008—2014年为下降趋势,平均每年下降12.9%(95%Cl:−20.4%~−4.7%)。第二季度农药中毒发生率2010—2020年呈上升趋势,平均每年上升4.4%(95%CI:0.3%~8.5%);第三季度农药中毒发生率呈下降趋势,平均每年下降4.9%(95%CI:−8.6%~−1.1%);第四季度农药中毒发生率2015—2020年呈上升趋势,平均每年上升17.8%(95%CI:4.4%~33.0%)。生产性中毒呈下降趋势,平均每年下降11.1%(95%CI:−16.2%~−5.7%);非生产性自服中毒2008—2014年呈下降趋势,平均每年下降9.5%(95%CI:−17.4%~−0.7%),2014—2020年为上升趋势,平均每年上升10.2%(95%CI:0.5%~20.8%)。除草剂、杀菌剂、混合制剂中毒发生率2008—2020年均呈上升趋势,平均每年分别上升8.6%(95%CI:5.8%~11.5%)、9.1%(95%CI:0.3%~18.7%)、193.3%(95%CI:11.6%~671.0%);其他种类农药中毒发生率2008—2020年呈下降趋势,平均每年下降14.1%(95%CI:−23.7%~−3.2%)。
    结论 2008—2020年嘉兴市农药中毒发生率总体趋势呈现先下降后上升。相关部门应针对当地农药中毒变化特点和发展趋势,及时采取对应措施,以预防和降低农药中毒的发生。

     

    Abstract:
    Background Pesticide poisoning is not only a common acute poisoning, but also an indispensable public health problem. It is important to describe and analyze the epidemic characteristics and trends of pesticide poisoning for its prevention and control.
    Objective To understand the epidemiological characteristics and trends of pesticide poisoning in Jiaxing from 2008 to 2020, and provide a basis for making effective intervention measures.
    Methods The relevant information of pesticide poisoning cases in Jiaxing from 2008 to 2020 was collected through the Occupational Disease and Occupational Health Information Monitoring System of the China Disease Prevention and Control Information System, and the demographic information was obtained from the statistical yearbook of Jiaxing. Joinpoint regression models were used to analyze trends in overall, gender, age, season, type of poisoning, and type of pesticide among poisoned individuals.
    Results A total of 3109 cases of pesticide poisoning were reported in Jiaxing City from 2008 to 2020. The overall pesticide poisoning incidence trended downward from 2008 to 2014, with an annual percent change (APC) of −9.0% (95%CI: −16.6%-−0.7%). The female pesticide poisoning incidence trended downward from 2008 to 2015, with an APC of −8.6% (95%CI: −13.9%-−2.9%). The 18-34 age group showed a decreasing trend of pesticide poisoning incidence from 2008 to 2015, with an APC of −11.0% (95%Cl: −17.4%-4.3%), and an increasing trend from 2015 to 2020, with an APC of 18.5% (95%Cl: 4.7%-34.0%). The >60 age group showed a decreasing trend of pesticide poisoning incidence from 2008 to 2014, with an APC of -12.9% (95%Cl: −20.4%-−4.7%). The second quarter showed an increasing trend of pesticide poisoning incidence from 2010 to 2020, with an APC of 4.4% (95%CI: 0.3%-8.5%); the third quarter showed a decreasing trend, with an APC of −4.9% (95%CI: −8.6%-−1.1%); the fourth quarter showed an increasing trend from 2015 to 2020, with an APC of 17.8% (95%CI: 4.4%-33.0%). Productive poisoning showed a decreasing trend, with an APC of −11.1% (95%CI: −16.2%-−5.7%); self-poisoning showed a decreasing trend from 2008 to 2014, with an APC of -9.5% (95%CI: −17.4%-−0.7%), and an increasing trend from 2014 to 2020, with an APC of 10.2% (95%CI: 0.5%-20.8%). The incidences of poisoning by herbicides, fungicides, and mixed formulations all showed an increasing trend from 2008 through 2020, with an APC of 8.6% (95%CI: 5.8%-11.5%), 9.1% (95%CI: 0.3%-18.7%), and 193.3% (95%CI: 11.6%-671.0%), respectively; the incidence of poisoning by other types of pesticides showed a decreasing trend from 2008 to 2020, with an APC of −14.1% (95%CI: −23.7%-−3.2%).
    Conclusion The overall reported pesticide poisoning incidents in Jiaxing City present a decline then a rise in 2008 to 2020. Relevant departments should take timely measures to prevent and reduce the occurrence of pesticide poisoning according to the changing characteristics and occurrence trends of local pesticide poisonings.

     

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